My research focuses on the causes and consequences of land-use change, deforestation, and conflict. I am a Marie Sklodowska-Curie postdoctoral fellow at the University of Göttingen and the University of Texas at Austin. My work examines the role of local political incentives in deforestation for agricultural production in Brazil and Indonesia. I combine remotely sensed high-resolution data with the spatialized market and political shocks to create large nationwide panels for causal identification. The research shows how local governments are a significant driver of land conversion and often collude with agricultural stakeholders. Therefore, central governments and non-governmental organizations must consider local political incentives when designing effective conservation instruments.

Latest working papers:

Latest publications:

  • Seufert, J. D., A. Python, C. Weisser, E. Cisneros, K. Kis-Katos, and T. Kneib (2022): Mapping ex-ante spatial risks of COVID-19 in Indonesia using a Bayesian geostatistical model on airport network data, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society), https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12866
  • Cisneros, E., J. Börner, S. Pagiola, and S. Wunder (2022): Impacts of Conservation Incentives in Protected Areas: The case of Bolsa Floresta, Brazil, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 111: 102,572, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2021.102572.